Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Commitment (own venture)

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Commitment (own venture)

“I'm going to write more audacious articles, I'm going to encourage more along form contributions from collaborators, and this is gonna be a better newsletter, a great newsletter, not just a daily newsletter.”
· A Farewell to Daily Articles. · substack post

Plans after dropping the daily cadence: more ambitious long-form articles, more collaborator contributions, and a prediction that the newsletter will be better.

The forecaster's own organization can make the outcome happen by its own decision: clinic openings, product launches, hires, trial starts, filings by their own company. Listed in the commitments table, never scored.