Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Commitment (own venture)

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Commitment (own venture)

“tomorrow’s issue is a podcast—it tell the more full story of how iTBS came to be, and where it is going…do I switch to iTBS as a First Line option?”
· When Does New Evidence Change How I Practice Medicine? · substack post

End of Part I of an essay on when new evidence should change practice, focused on intermittent theta burst stimulation (iTBS) versus 10 Hz TMS. The author announces a podcast issue the next day and leaves open whether he will adopt iTBS first-line.

The forecaster's own organization can make the outcome happen by its own decision: clinic openings, product launches, hires, trial starts, filings by their own company. Listed in the commitments table, never scored.