Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Vague or promotional

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Owen Scott Muir · Said 2 Apr 2025 · owen-1694

Quote

Vague or promotional

“insurance tends to follow the FDA and will rarely approve treatments in broader populations than the FDA was willing to sign off on.”
· Cigna Unveils National Coverage Policy for Adolescent Depression Including TMS! · substack post

Explaining why the Neuronetics adolescent (15+) FDA label matters: insurers follow FDA labels and will rarely cover populations broader than the label.

No entity, observable event, benchmark or threshold can be written from the text and its immediate context. Slogans ('game changer', 'once-in-a-lifetime opportunity', 'favourite stock') and quantifiers with no countable set ('more', 'first', 'all') without a defined set.

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