Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Commitment (own venture)

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Commitment (own venture)

“that algorithm performed remarkably well. I can't even tell you how well yet, because it hasn't been published yet. It should be available shortly. ... The sensitivity and specificity are better than any human study of screening for a tardive dyskinesia has ever done.”
· This Physician Realizes He Might Have The Movement Disorder He's Been Researching. · substack post

Author describes the tardive dyskinesia video-screening algorithm he built with Anthony Sterns (iRxReminder) and Videra Health, trained on hundreds of rated videos; he says it performed remarkably well, and the results (publication) should be available shortly. The tool is already offered at TDscreen.ai.

The forecaster's own organization can make the outcome happen by its own decision: clinic openings, product launches, hires, trial starts, filings by their own company. Listed in the commitments table, never scored.