Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“But, it’s more likely your ADHD will kill your kid earlier on its own if left untreated.”
· My Actual Advice to Parents of Kids With ADHD · substack post

Summary of the cardiovascular-risk section. The author accepts that ADHD medication may raise cardiovascular risk over many years but expects untreated ADHD to cause earlier death, citing Swedish registry mortality data.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.