Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Commitment (own venture)

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Owen Scott Muir · Said 17 Feb 2025 · owen-1596

Quote

Commitment (own venture)

“I’ll be attending any maybe presenting data (This seems likely—I was a co-author on 10% of posters in 2024…) at CTMSS 2025 in San Diego, June 12-14.”
· A Mid-Century Modern ADHD Medical Device? · substack post

Same conference schedule block. The author plans to attend CTMSS 2025 in San Diego and thinks it likely he will present data, citing co-authorship of 10% of posters in 2024.

The forecaster's own organization can make the outcome happen by its own decision: clinic openings, product launches, hires, trial starts, filings by their own company. Listed in the commitments table, never scored.

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