Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“Editors note: When…”
· The Journal of Dubious Methods and Questionable Findings · substack post Paid

Footnote 3 by the editor (Owen Muir) on Chris Aiken's line 'if he takes the reins at NIH'. The author corrects 'if' to 'When', asserting that Jay Bhattacharya, nominated by Donald Trump in December 2024, will become NIH director.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.