Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Vague or promotional

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Vague or promotional

“This is the third similarly designed trial. Yes, there will be criticisms”
· Rapid Treatment of Bipolar Depression with Accelerated TMS: Third Time's the Charm? · substack post

Intro to the third randomized trial of accelerated iTBS (SAINT-style) for bipolar depression (Appelbaum et al., UCSD, JAMA Network Open 2025). The author says there will be criticisms, then supplies his own: failed randomization (age and sex imbalance) and an ATHF-based treatment-resistance criterion he calls unserious.

No entity, observable event, benchmark or threshold can be written from the text and its immediate context. Slogans ('game changer', 'once-in-a-lifetime opportunity', 'favourite stock') and quantifiers with no countable set ('more', 'first', 'all') without a defined set.