Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“This is a horrible state of affairs, because it makes it endlessly more likely that there will be more political violence against healthcare executives”
· UnitedHealth Group Gotta Weird Case · substack post

Aside about the celebrity treatment Luigi Mangione (accused of killing the UnitedHealthcare CEO) receives in prison. The author predicts this makes further political violence against healthcare executives more likely.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.