Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“But show up for something, no matter how literally pedestrian, regularly. That way, when it matters, you will have some credibility.”
· Advice For Dads · substack post

Closing advice to fathers: do something with your kids regularly (the author walks his twins to school every day). Conditional prediction that regular presence yields credibility when the important moments come.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.