Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“Well don't you know, someone might decide to yank the safe harbor that makes this otherwise completely illegal activity completely legal, and then just let the chips fall they may?”
· Pharmacy Benefit Managers Hiked Generic Drug Costs by $7.3b · substack post

Reacting to the FTC report that CVS Caremark, Express Scripts and Optum Rx marked up specialty generics by $7.3 billion (2017-2022). Setup: 'If I was in an incoming administration, that had already demonstrated some hostility towards Pharmacy Benefit Managers, and I was trying to slash expenses?' The author speculates the administration might remove the PBM rebate safe harbor.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.