Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Owen Scott Muir · Said 5 Jan 2025 · owen-1491

Quote

Outside the five areas

“This could lead to a möbius loop of iterative reports of failures to protect kids.”
· Defining Gender Affirming Care as “Child Abuse?" A Disaster. · substack post

2022 body. Same DFPS self-reporting paradox: hedged prediction of recursive failure-to-protect reports inside the agency.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.

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