Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Commitment (own venture)

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Owen Scott Muir · Said 4 Jan 2025 · owen-1466

Quote

Commitment (own venture)

“It does not mean that it will be submitted in some unbelievably stale format to JAMA Psychiatry, or any of the other journals that would give it prestige…”
· “I Did Not Want to Be Angry All the Time”: Mental Health Clinicians’ Attitudes About Insurance · substack post

The author explains that his and Carlene MacMillan's survey paper on clinician attitudes toward insurance is being published on the newsletter and will not be submitted to JAMA Psychiatry or other academic journals.

The forecaster's own organization can make the outcome happen by its own decision: clinic openings, product launches, hires, trial starts, filings by their own company. Listed in the commitments table, never scored.

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