Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“And Lamar knew—or should have known—that Baka’s weird case wasn’t pertaining to a child. Thus, I strongly suspect this rises to the level of actual malice.”
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After arguing that Lamar knew or should have known that Baka Not Nice's conviction did not involve a child, the author concludes the 'certified pedophiles' line likely meets the actual-malice standard required for public-figure defamation.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.