Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Vague or promotional

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Vague or promotional

“There’s $485+ billion a year in pharmacy benefit management rebates. And that goes up at 8.8% every year. That will eat up your entire budget at CMS, given enough time.”
· Letters to Dr. Oz · substack post

Letter to Dr. Oz. Numeric premise: PBM rebates of $485+ billion a year growing 8.8% a year; prediction that this will consume the whole CMS budget given enough time, unless Oz stops it ('If you let it.').

No entity, observable event, benchmark or threshold can be written from the text and its immediate context. Slogans ('game changer', 'once-in-a-lifetime opportunity', 'favourite stock') and quantifiers with no countable set ('more', 'first', 'all') without a defined set.