Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Vague or promotional

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Owen Scott Muir · Said 13 Sep 2024 · owen-1226

Quote

Vague or promotional

“The inclusion of these will, I suspect, be crucial and at the expense of excellent treatment for the rest of the mental health conditions.”
· New (Final) Rules in Mental Health Parity: I · substack post Paid

Part I on the 2024 final MHPAEA parity rule from the Department of Labor and HHS, which defines MH/SUD conditions by the current ICD or DSM and so includes dementia and autism. The author expects coverage of these two expensive diagnoses to come at the expense of treatment quality for other mental health conditions.

No entity, observable event, benchmark or threshold can be written from the text and its immediate context. Slogans ('game changer', 'once-in-a-lifetime opportunity', 'favourite stock') and quantifiers with no countable set ('more', 'first', 'all') without a defined set.

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