Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“Perhaps we need a warning label on warning labels from regulators and surgeons general? Warning: Unintended Consequences May Follow.”
· Warning Labels for Social Media Are A Terrible Idea. · substack post Paid

Close of the argument against Murthy's proposed social media warning label. The author expects unintended consequences from warning labels issued by regulators and surgeons general, drawing on the antidepressant boxed warning and tobacco label evidence. Public health policy domain.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.