Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Vague or promotional

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Vague or promotional

“Even that 0.66% rate, at the scale of 1,000,000 patients treated, would be… 6,600 additional sexually assaulted patients—by their therapists”
· Bad Touch! Saving MDMA: Part V · substack post

The author takes the one sexual boundary violation known from the MAPS Phase 3 MDMA-AT sample (two studies, n = 150) as a 0.66% rate and projects that, if MDMA-AT were deployed to 1,000,000 patients, about 6,600 additional patients would be sexually assaulted by their therapists. Conditional numeric projection about MDMA-AT at scale.

No entity, observable event, benchmark or threshold can be written from the text and its immediate context. Slogans ('game changer', 'once-in-a-lifetime opportunity', 'favourite stock') and quantifiers with no countable set ('more', 'first', 'all') without a defined set.