Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Vague or promotional

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Vague or promotional

“Much of it is beyond bad writing—that is, the published results will not turn out to replicate! It’s factually false.”
· Why Science is Often Bad · substack post

Opening of an essay on Ioannidis and publication bias: the author asserts that much of the published science he reads for the newsletter is false and will fail to replicate, citing the STAR*D reanalysis as an example.

No entity, observable event, benchmark or threshold can be written from the text and its immediate context. Slogans ('game changer', 'once-in-a-lifetime opportunity', 'favourite stock') and quantifiers with no countable set ('more', 'first', 'all') without a defined set.