Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Commitment (own venture)

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Commitment (own venture)

“Of course, there were some other extraordinary “non-standard” events in this trial of a non-standard drug, which we will discuss tomorrow. And don’t worry, by the end of this series I will lay out a path forward following this traumatic hearing.”
· Can MDMA-AT Be Saved?: Part I · substack post

Closing of Part I of the MDMA-AT series. The author says he will discuss other non-standard events in the Lykos trial in the next day's post and will lay out a path forward for MDMA-AT by the end of the series.

The forecaster's own organization can make the outcome happen by its own decision: clinic openings, product launches, hires, trial starts, filings by their own company. Listed in the commitments table, never scored.