Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“This year, Tim Ferris brought conversation about accelerated trans cranial magnetic stimulation and the Nobel prize in waiting science of Nolan Williams’ Brain Simulation lab at Stanford to SXSW.”
· Accelerated TMS hits SXSW Stage · substack post

The author describes the accelerated TMS science from Nolan Williams's Stanford Brain Stimulation Lab, discussed by Tim Ferriss at SXSW, as 'Nobel prize in waiting', implying it will eventually win a Nobel prize.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.