Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“If too many of us are out and about, publicly speaking about our experience, together, it becomes less plausible to punish any individual for the temerity to live our lives with dignity.”
· "You Are Broken and You Have a Superpower" · substack post

Post on self-disclosure of psychiatric illness by physicians, prompted by the Carlat Report podcast episode that anonymized its participants. Conditional claim: if many clinicians disclose publicly, punishing any individual becomes less plausible.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.