Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“I am not sure if writing has the staying power of 15-second videos.”
· The Rise and Fall of Everything We Once Held Dear · substack post

Essay on attention, social media and declining reading. After noting over a million TikTok views in one week versus about 80k newsletter reads a month, the author doubts that written media will keep its staying power against short video.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.