Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“The porous and suggestible sense of self and poor concept of agency is the problem …a problem that will, in almost everyone, improve with time.”
· Personality Disorders Exist · substack post

BPD prognosis claim. The author cites Gunderson and Zanarini data (85% remission at 10 years, up to 99% at 26 years) and states that BPD improves with time in almost everyone; earlier: 'it's just wait. It will get better.'

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.