Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“They are those who will have a vastly higher likelihood of a personality disorder. Those individuals are also, paradoxically, most likely to go into remission later.”
· Personality Disorders Exist · substack post

Essay against physician-assisted suicide for psychiatric illness, prompted by the Dutch case of Zoraya ter Beek. The author predicts that the cohort most enthusiastic about psychiatric euthanasia will disproportionately have personality disorders, and that these same people are the most likely to remit later.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.