Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Not a forecast

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Not a forecast

“The basic science, however, suggests that, if these results are replicated, there’s yet more data for the profound biology underlying the relationship between our microbiome, our mental health, and our environment, in determining who gets sick, when, and with what.”
· Are You A Dog Person or An Increased Risk of Schizophrenia Person? · substack post

Closing reflection on the Yolken et al. 2019 PLOS ONE cohort study that linked early household cat exposure to about double the odds of schizophrenia and found dogs protective (mechanism: Toxoplasma gondii and microbial co-travelers). The author conditions on future replication of the results; the consequent is an interpretive claim that replication would add evidence for microbiome-mental-health biology, not a dated world-state call.

Descriptive, retrospective, or a statement of preference; no future state asserted.