Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Not a forecast

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Owen Scott Muir · Said 28 Feb 2024 · owen-0904

Quote

Not a forecast

“So we're talking about a worst-case scenario of $1.8×10^14.”
· Change Healthcare is a Big Enough Problem for United Healthcare to Notice. · substack post Paid

Tier-4 HIPAA penalty math: $1.8 million maximum per record times about 100 million people (Change Healthcare processes data on 1/3 of Americans) gives $1.8×10^14, which the author says is 377 times UnitedHealth's market capitalization. He labels it explicitly a worst-case scenario.

Descriptive, retrospective, or a statement of preference; no future state asserted.

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