Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Vague or promotional

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Vague or promotional

“There is still a lot of research to be done before these become well-established medicines. ... But this Christmas, I am hopeful we will have new and powerful treatments for depression under the tree in the near future!”
· Mushrooms: The Original Christmas Miracle? · substack post

After arguing that COMP360's phase 2b TRD result (29.1% remission at week 3, p<0.002) shows a phase-3-sized difference in a phase-2-sized trial, the author tempers expectations: psilocybin-class drugs will need much more research before becoming established medicines for depression and PTSD.

No entity, observable event, benchmark or threshold can be written from the text and its immediate context. Slogans ('game changer', 'once-in-a-lifetime opportunity', 'favourite stock') and quantifiers with no countable set ('more', 'first', 'all') without a defined set.