Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“There is a risk of never having the kind of social life that might lead to a sexual encounter, awkwardly, in the back of a car, perhaps rented from Zipcar.”
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After citing CDC Youth Risk Behavior Survey data (ever sexually active high schoolers: 54% in 1991, 46% in 2009, 30% in 2021), the author argues young people's ability to connect has collapsed and frames the risk of never developing a social life as a new youth risk.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.