Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Not a forecast

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Not a forecast

“if you wanted to prevent schizophrenia, the easiest thing to do, in quotes around the word easiest, is get young people not to smoke any cannabis. That would prevent a lot of schizophrenia. Good luck with that, by the way.”
· The Future of Brain Health? · substack podcast

Podcast conversation with Jazz Glastra about prevention. Citing data (Christoph Correll, spelled 'Carell' in the transcript) on ultra-high-risk individuals converting to schizophrenia, the author claims reducing youth cannabis use would prevent a lot of schizophrenia, while doubting such a reduction can be achieved. Restated at the end: 'You could prevent schizophrenia by reducing the rates of cannabis use.'

Descriptive, retrospective, or a statement of preference; no future state asserted.