Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“Very few of us will survive the kinds of predictable causes of early death that will commonly befall us if we let all the doctors and nurses quit.”
· "I Am Determined to Prove A Villain" is Great Theater and Bad Health Care Policy · substack post

Conditional warning: if doctors and nurses are allowed to quit en masse (strikes, burnout, private equity), predictable causes of early death (appendicitis, accidents, infections, psychiatric emergencies) will kill many people.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.