Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“that doesn't get replaced overnight. It doesn't get replaced in a decade.”
· "I Am Determined to Prove A Villain" is Great Theater and Bad Health Care Policy · substack post

The author argues that every burned-out doctor, completed suicide, or early retirement removes millions of dollars of training and tens of thousands of hours of experience, and that this lost clinical expertise will not be replaced within a decade.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.