Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“We're going to need some treaty or plan to deal with it.”
· We Shouldn't Fear Artificial General Intelligence more than Human General Intelligence · substack post

After 'Human intelligence is tremendously dangerous', the author says humanity will need a treaty or plan to deal with dangerous human intelligence, 'until something better comes along'.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.