Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“We are predictable. We will avoid “not knowing”— if we don’t build trust first .”
· I Explained the Pandemic To Myself: Episode 2 · substack podcast

Author's retrospective on pandemic communication: humans predictably avoid uncertainty and take the path of most certainty even if it is bad, unless trust is built first. Framed as a general, conditional prediction about public behavior.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.