Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Commitment (own venture)

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Commitment (own venture)

“There is an enormous need for improved treatments for MDD. This trial will go a long way toward gathering more data to help us treat people with severe, even intractable, depression.”
· Press Release Round Up! · substack post

Fermata press release on the SAINT OLO trial; the author (Owen Scott Muir, co-founder of Fermata) is quoted directly. He states the trial will go a long way toward gathering data to treat severe, intractable depression.

The forecaster's own organization can make the outcome happen by its own decision: clinic openings, product launches, hires, trial starts, filings by their own company. Listed in the commitments table, never scored.