Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“Most survive. Many will not. This is a nightmare for parents and kids.”
· AACAP Dispatch: "We Don't Have a Model of Care for Suicidal Children that Works" · substack post

AACAP dispatch on suicidal youth. After citing CDC figures (1 in 4 girls seriously consider suicide each year, just under 1 in 4 LGBTQ youth attempt, 6.6% of boys attempted in 2021), the author states that most suicidal kids survive but many will not.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.