Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Commitment (own venture)

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Owen Scott Muir · Said 19 Oct 2023 · owen-0733

Quote

Commitment (own venture)

“As part of your employer-sponsored health plan, we will discuss how your company can have next-generation psychiatric treatment—with the fancy BRAIN , SAINT , Monarch eTNS , and other treatments you read about here at a lower cost than you pay for care now—with a total of a 150,000 dollar value bet on that claim’s veracity.”
· How Health Care Gets Paid for in America: Part II · substack post

Promotional message for the Acacia Clinics x Validation Institute webinar with Al Lewis: the author claims employers can get next-generation psychiatric treatments (BRAIN, SAINT, Monarch eTNS) through their health plan at a lower cost than they pay for care now, backed by a $150,000 value bet.

The forecaster's own organization can make the outcome happen by its own decision: clinic openings, product launches, hires, trial starts, filings by their own company. Listed in the commitments table, never scored.

← Earlier · Later → · All statements