Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“Neither high turnover of health care personnel nor doubling their wages is a great look for a country with triple the number of elderly people in 2060, but it’s a splash in the pan compared to the graft in the system.”
· How Health Care is Paid For in America: Part I · substack post

Part I of a co-written (with Sanjay Shirke) history of US healthcare payment. Discussing CPT codes, physician burnout and unionization, the author asserts the US will have triple the number of elderly people in 2060 and that labor costs are small next to system graft.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.