Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Not a forecast

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Not a forecast

“The deal is that if you’re around someone they have COVID-19, you are then going to be quarantined. So if we ran a group therapy session and one of those group patients, or even a group leader, had COVID-19, then the whole group would be down for the count, essentially, you know, locked in their house for two weeks, or whatever the CDC recommends.”
· Pandemic Time Capsule Podcast: March 20th, 2020 · substack podcast

Same March 20, 2020 transcript. The author explains the difference between social distancing and quarantine, a point he credits to his own psychiatrist: exposure to a COVID-19 case leads to quarantine, so an in-person group therapy session with one case would put the whole group into two-week home quarantine per CDC guidance. This is his rationale for moving everything except TMS to telehealth.

Descriptive, retrospective, or a statement of preference; no future state asserted.