Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Commitment (own venture)

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Commitment (own venture)

“I'm also about to publish a paper on getting ADHD into remission—in 5 days— with transcranial magnetic stimulation. ... I don't know how long that effect will be durable…”
· We Have Medical Device Treatment to Address ADHD Medication Shortages · substack post

Footnote 5 of the Monarch eTNS post. The author says he is about to publish a paper on getting ADHD into remission in 5 days with transcranial magnetic stimulation, adds that he was surprised by the result, and says he does not know how durable the effect will be.

The forecaster's own organization can make the outcome happen by its own decision: clinic openings, product launches, hires, trial starts, filings by their own company. Listed in the commitments table, never scored.