Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“It’s not going to get better until we call a spade a spade.”
· Record High Death by Suicide Rates: CDC Report · substack post

Post on the CDC provisional report of 49,449 US suicide deaths in 2022, a 2.6% rise and a record. After listing failures of current mental health treatment (inaccurate diagnoses, ineffective treatments, refusal to pay for effective ones, 988 calls redirected out of state), the author asserts the crisis and the suicide numbers will not improve until the field admits the failure.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.