Not admitted · Commitment (own venture)
Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026
Owen Scott Muir · Said 10 Jul 2023 · owen-0603
Quote
Commitment (own venture)
“I find it motivating, and I will do more ambitious writing if you reinforce my behavior.”
Intro to the PBM essay: conditional own-plan to produce more ambitious writing if readers subscribe and share.
The forecaster's own organization can make the outcome happen by its own decision: clinic openings, product launches, hires, trial starts, filings by their own company. Listed in the commitments table, never scored.