Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Owen Scott Muir · Said 3 Jul 2023 · owen-0582

Quote

Outside the five areas

“The vibrancy and appeal have the flavor of an FDIC press release before an old-fashioned bank runs.”
· Where There is Smoke: Emergency Medicine's Disaster Match Previews Private Equity Funded Chaos in Healthcare · substack post

Act I: after 555 unfilled emergency medicine residency spots in the 2023 Match (up from 219 in 2022), the author likens ACEP's reassuring statement to a bank regulator's statement before a run, implying the EM residency pipeline is heading for collapse.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.

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