Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Not a forecast

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Not a forecast

“It is worth noting they're wildly expensive, and could account for $736,000,000,000 if we just treated half of people with obesity with the existing semeglutide at the existing market price.”
· Metabolic Syndrome is a Real Illness · substack post

Personal essay on GLP-1 drugs (Ozempic/semaglutide, then Mounjaro/tirzepatide) for metabolic syndrome. Conditional cost estimate: treating half of people with obesity with semaglutide at the current market price would cost $736 billion.

Descriptive, retrospective, or a statement of preference; no future state asserted.