Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Vague or promotional

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Vague or promotional

“This is likely to be the highest hurdle for new technologies. Specific data demonstrating clinical IMPROVEMENT in Medicare patients is a high bar, generally, and it is expensive on average to run these kinds of studies…”
· You Can Cure* Inpatient Psychiatry With this One Weird Open Comment Period · substack post

Explaining the three NTAP (New Technology Add-On Payment) criteria under the FY2024 Medicare IPPS proposed rule: newness, cost, substantial clinical improvement. The author predicts the substantial clinical improvement criterion (data specific or generalizable to Medicare patients) will be the highest hurdle for new technologies.

No entity, observable event, benchmark or threshold can be written from the text and its immediate context. Slogans ('game changer', 'once-in-a-lifetime opportunity', 'favourite stock') and quantifiers with no countable set ('more', 'first', 'all') without a defined set.