Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Vague or promotional

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Vague or promotional

“And we are just getting started.”
· Is False Equivalency is the New Precision? · substack post

Recap of an APA talk (with Dan Karlin, CMO of Mind Medicine) on precision, context and granular data from a study in patients with anxiety on which the author was PI. The author says the work of turning such data into knowledge is only beginning.

No entity, observable event, benchmark or threshold can be written from the text and its immediate context. Slogans ('game changer', 'once-in-a-lifetime opportunity', 'favourite stock') and quantifiers with no countable set ('more', 'first', 'all') without a defined set.