Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Not a forecast

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Owen Scott Muir · Said 1 May 2023 · owen-0461

Quote

Not a forecast

“If you multiply that by the number of years somebody is on drugs, about 20% of people with long-term exposure to these drugs will develop TD.”
· That Time I Did Not Disagree with Scientology: Tardive Dyskinesia Sucks · substack post

Tardive dyskinesia numbers: 4.62 million Americans take antipsychotics yearly, 120,000+ per year develop TD, and about 20% of long-term users will develop TD.

Descriptive, retrospective, or a statement of preference; no future state asserted.

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