Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Outside the five areas

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Quote

Outside the five areas

“you can plug whatever you want to be written into ChatGPT, it will be. ... And it will suck. But writing something novel, compelling, interesting, concise, funny, or all of those things is not automatic. ... Not yet. Maybe someday.”
· Sometimes Writing Something Good Enough Takes A While · substack post Paid

On ChatGPT: it can write anything on demand but 'it will suck'; good writing is not yet automatic but may become so someday. Hedged call about future AI writing ability.

Outside the five area definitions in areas.json: not a regulatory decision, trial outcome, company or market outcome, payer or policy decision, or practice adoption about drugs, devices or treatments in psychiatry, or about payment for and access to them. The registry applies the same test when it consolidates proposed events.