Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Commitment (own venture)

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Owen Scott Muir · Said 22 Apr 2023 · owen-0447

Quote

Commitment (own venture)

“most of the pieces in this series will be posted not by email, but directly to the website itself.”
· Isengard's Half-Orc Program Was A Compliance Nightmare: Satire About AI in Future Litigation · substack post

Author's plan for the LOTR satire series on his newsletter: future pieces will be posted to the website and not emailed.

The forecaster's own organization can make the outcome happen by its own decision: clinic openings, product launches, hires, trial starts, filings by their own company. Listed in the commitments table, never scored.

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