Forecast Ledgerinterventional psychiatry and psychedelic medicineQuoted, dated predictions scored against public outcomes under one written method. Every score links to the words, the rule and the evidence.

Not admitted · Commitment (own venture)

Rules 1.1.0 · as of 14 Sep 2026

Owen Scott Muir · Said 1 Feb 2023 · owen-0295

Quote

Commitment (own venture)

“This is going to be awesome. I am so excited to tell you about this tomorrow.”
· I Just Used AI to File My Equal Opportunity Complaint Against UnitedHealth Group! · substack post Paid

The author used the AI tool DoNotPay to turn a legal argument from a footnote of an earlier newsletter column into an EEOC complaint against UnitedHealth Group (which declined him for a behavioral medical director job after asking about disability status). He promises to describe it in the newsletter the next day.

The forecaster's own organization can make the outcome happen by its own decision: clinic openings, product launches, hires, trial starts, filings by their own company. Listed in the commitments table, never scored.

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